At the end of the summer, as usual, we try to plan the activity for the remainder of the year, but also to draw up the main points of next year.
From a societal point of view, the pandemic crisis is
still present, and the question is whether we will really have a clear ending or whether this state of
uncertainty will continue to
hover during next
year.
Of course, we are watching the German elections with
great interest. From a macro point of view, however, we expect only stability
from Germany, no matter which coalition will govern the country in the future.
At the level of France, the elections in the spring of
2022 are more complex than they seem. How many believe that Emmanuel Macron
will reach the second round of presidential elections with Marine Le Pen again?
The debate on the future of Europe, at least in theory,
is in full swing. We look forward to seeing the miraculous conclusions of the
March 2022 report, planned to be a collective drafting exercise for the 400
million citizens…
But we need to talk about Afghanistan now. The unfolding
of events in recent days raises enormous questions about the world order and
even European society. Of course, the European Union has not played a direct
role in this conflict, but the repercussions are enormous.
Allow me to launch just a few points of reflection:
How
is the European
defence policy influenced?
How
will European countries react to taking
on Afghan refugees?
Will
the EU deepen the file of strategic autonomy?
Will
the EU take the global lead in monitoring human rights in Afghanistan?
How
will the Transatlantic Partnership evolve?
What
is the new US initiative to regain international credibility?
How
will countries like China, Russia or even Turkey play their role in this new world
order?
What
is the new approach on
the counterterrorism agenda?
How
can we advance discussions on global multilateralism?
What
are the opportunities of the European project in the new global context?
Dan LUCA / Brussels
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